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« Some thoughts on DRM | Main | Packaging as an approach »



Would be interesting to hear your opinions as to when open source will move away from operating systems and other "infrastructure" applications to focus on industry vertical problems...

Alex Fletcher


Stay tuned for a post on this, coming soon...


Duncan Chapple

Kondratiev would be amused at this. His analysis of waves has been used to underpin much of the best research into business cycles. However, this diagram seem to suggest that, instead of cycles, we have eternal upward singles. That, I think, is Hegel, not Kondratiev.

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Using that parallel as well as a loose classification of open source as a subset of IT in general, it is possible to apply the Kondratiev wave to open source as a technological revolution.


For those who familiar with Carlota Perez, currently Visiting Senior Research Fellow at the Cambridge Endowment for Research in Finance (CERF) and author of "Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages"

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However, this diagram seem to suggest that, instead of cycles, we have eternal upward singles. That, I think, is Hegel, not Kondratiev.

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As SOA moves from the domain of the early adopter/industry leaders into the mainstream, open source is going to increasingly be employed therein as both a cost effective replacement for proprietary products as well as a driver of flexible, open, standards-based components which aid security from an SOA perspective.
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